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Old December 4th, 2017, 03:34 PM   #1
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My personal discoveries about historical cycles


I am a 27 years old guy living in Italy and years ago I started a research about historical cycles and I discovered 3 cycles in 2013 and 5 more in summer of this year.

I started to compare a lot of events and these were the results.

25 YEARS is the most proven historical cycle, in fact I found 46 episodes of recurrence, and you’ll find it mostly for nuclear issues and events, civil wars and disasters, but can be found also for every kind of historical issue.

44 YEARS historical cycle - you will find it mostly for the comparisons between famous and historical people

87 YEARS is the historical cycle of the recurrence of the previous century and matches with Strauss – Howe generational theory .You ‘ll find it mostly for comparisons between people in history and for watershedding events ( events that can be relevant for decades and trigger a new epoch )

37 YEARS is the historical cycle that you’ll find mostly for wars and geopolitical crisis

32 YEARS is the historical cycle that you’ll find mostly for riots and revolutions , and is also connected to the 32 years Economic Theory

22 YEARS is the 2nd most proven historical cycle, you’ll find it mostly for civil wars, local conflicts and generally in wars. It also matches a complete magnetic solar cycle.

52 YEARS historical cycle matches the Kondratiev Technological Innovation theory and can be very generalized in recurrences

41 YEARS historical cycle, you’ll find it mostly for the comparison between historical people and in politics and political issues and trends.



25 YEARS CYCLE:
  • Chernobyl and Fukushima
  • Yemen Civil war 1986 and 2011
  • Oakland fire disaster 1991 and 2016
  • Iranian american embassy hostages and Beslan russian hostage crisis
  • Pope hit by attack caused by Turkish man 1981 and Pope’s speech triggers muslim anger 2006
  • 1989 Massacre Tiananmen and Uighur massacre, China 2014 ( not confirmed )
  • 1765 Usa revolution and 1790 France revolution
  • 1776 Birth of Usa and 1801 Birth of Uk
  • 1789 France revolution and 1814 Napoleon dismissed
  • 1992 Hurricane Andrew and 2017 hurricanes Harvey and Irma
  • 1967 and 1992 Usa race riots
  • 1979 Bangladesh Cyclone and 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami
  • 1836 Alamo battle and 1861 Usa civil war
  • 1861 Usa civil war and 1886 Chicago riots
  • 1861 Bicycle and 1886 Car
  • 1987 Wall Street flash crash and 2012 hurricane hits New York and Wall Street gets flooded
  • Huge comet is seen by Mexico 1883 and 1908 Tunguska event
  • 1889 Prince of Austria and girlfriend suicide and 1914 Archduke of Austria and wife killed
  • 1912 Titanic and 1937 Hindenburg
  • 1914 World war I and 1939 World war II
  • 1920 last battle with horses and 1945 last battles of World war II
  • 1986 and 2011 military intervention in Libya
  • 1948 and 1973 middle east wars
  • 1948 Berlin blockade and 1973 Oil blockade / crisis
  • 1956 Marilyn Monroe wedding and 1981 Lady Diana wedding; both will die young
  • 1959 and 1984 aids epidemy; patient zero and beginning of big epidemy
  • 1960 – 1985 – 2010 Chile quakes
  • 1970 and 1995 metropolitan disasters
  • 1975 and 2000 Concorde first and last flights
  • 1979 and 2004 march against terrorism Italy and Spain
  • 1984 and 2009 Italy train accidents and Italy earthquakes
  • 1990 Milano World Cup italy and 2015 Milano Expo – Saudi Arabian stampedes – Kuwait attacked and Kuwait terror attack – Usa intervention in Iraq and Russia intervention in Iraq – in both years plane carrying students crashed – LGBT achievements
  • 1944 Normandy mission and 1969 Lunar Landing
  • 1953 Iran coup d’ etat and 1978 Iran crisis
  • 1923 economic superinflation Germany and 2010 in Greece
  • 1992 law on disclosure of Kennedy assassination files and 2017 disclosure
87 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1914 and 2001 World War I and Global War on Terror
  • 1907 Gandhi and 1994 Mandela in South Africa
  • 1927 and 2014 Sacco and Vanzetti and Marņ in India criminal case
  • 1929 Wall Street crash and the consequences of Brexit in 2016
44 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1954 North Vietnam and 1998 North Korea dictatures established
  • Mega earthquakes/ tsunamis 1960 and 2004
  • Bangladesh crisis 1970 and 2004
  • 1972 Monaco attack during Olympics and 2016 terror attack near Olympic stadium
  • 1973 Chile crisis and 2017 Spain - Catalunia crisis
  • 1973 Pinochet and 2017 Puidgemont
  • 1972 Nixon and 2016 Trump
  • 1946 Cold War starts and 1990 Cold War ends
22 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1979 Iran crisis and 2001 Afghan crisis
  • 1972 and 1994 African genocide and civil war
  • 1995 Oklahoma attack and 2017 Las Vegas shooting
  • 1979 Russia war intervention in Afghan. and 2001 Usa war intervention in Afghan.
  • Dams collapse 1963 and 1985
  • 1992 Algeria civil war and 2014 Iraq civil war
  • 1992 L. A. riots and 2014 Ferguson riots
  • Crimea crisis 1992 and 2014
  • 1994 Berlusconi and 2016 Trump
32 YEARS CYCLE

  • China quakes 1976 and 2008
  • Elvis dies 1977 and Michael Jackson dies 2009
  • Arab revolutions 1979 and 2011
  • 1930 Gandhi and 1962 Mandela
  • 1985 and 2017 stadium stampedes
  • 1969 and 2001 Argentina riots
  • 1985 and 2017 Spain terror Attacks
  • 1985 and 2017 Mexico earthquake ON SAME DAY
52 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1946 and 1998 North Korea dictature
  • Ireland event / crisis 1920 and 1972
  • 1799 and 1851 France coup d' etats
  • 1962 and 2014 Cuba - Usa relationship
  • 1948 and 2000 Israeli conflict
  • 1941 and 1993 Usa terror Attacks ( the 1993 one was planned to be worst than 9/11 )
  • 1965 and 2017 situation in Rhodesia / Zimbabwe
37 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1980 and 2017 Mugabe and Zimbabwe situation
  • India crisis 1947 and 1984
  • 1964 Usa vs Vietnam and 2001 Usa vs Afghanistan
  • 1799 and 1836 Napoleon ( different people ) coup d' etats
  • 1955 Bus boicott by blacks and 1992 L.A. riots
  • 1980 Iraq - Iran war and 2017 Iraqi Isis Attacks Iran
  • 1980 and 2017 Spain terror attacks
  • 1973 and 2010 Italy and Greece Austerity
  • 1980 and 2017 Reagan and Trump
41 YEARS CYCLE

  • 1962 Usa vs Vietnam and 2003 Usa vs Iraq
  • 1799 and 1840 France coup d' etats
  • 1970 and 2011 Ghaddafi and Libya situation
  • 1970 and 2011 Spain riots
  • 1975 and 2016 Thatcher and May and Britain enters EU vs Brexit
  • 1976 and 2017 Argentina and Spain political crisis
I am also developing forecasts for the 21st century based on these cycles and technological forecasts.

I would like to discuss these cycles with you


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Old December 4th, 2017, 07:43 PM   #2

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These "cycles" are just two similar events spread out over x number of years. To really prove something you'd have a bunch of very similar events every y number of years for this to even be plausible.

What you've done is certainly interesting, but just because world war 2 started 25 years after world war 1 doesn't mean world war 3 started 25 years after world war 2
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Old December 5th, 2017, 05:15 AM   #3

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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karl XII View Post
These "cycles" are just two similar events spread out over x number of years. To really prove something you'd have a bunch of very similar events every y number of years for this to even be plausible.

What you've done is certainly interesting, but just because world war 2 started 25 years after world war 1 doesn't mean world war 3 started 25 years after world war 2
Nostradamus mucked it up
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Old December 5th, 2017, 05:23 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Karl XII View Post
These "cycles" are just two similar events spread out over x number of years. To really prove something you'd have a bunch of very similar events every y number of years for this to even be plausible.

What you've done is certainly interesting, but just because world war 2 started 25 years after world war 1 doesn't mean world war 3 started 25 years after world war 2
Well, you should recognize that after you find the same pattern for more than 40 times there must be something about it

To really prove something you'd have a bunch of very similar events every y number of years for this to even be plausible. - Haven't I done exactly that in this thread?
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Old December 5th, 2017, 05:23 AM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnincornwall View Post
Nostradamus mucked it up
Not trying to be Nostradamus just trying to dispel the myth of trendlessly fluctuating history.
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Old December 5th, 2017, 07:03 AM   #6
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ManOfCycles View Post
To really prove something you'd have a bunch of very similar events every y number of years for this to even be plausible. - Haven't I done exactly that in this thread?
No, you didn't. If 25 year cycle was true, then we would have World Wars every 25 years. However, somehow the third never happened (and hopefully won't).

For cycle to be true you'd need to have the events repeating consistently over large span of time. Not just two random events.

Last edited by Vaderfan; December 5th, 2017 at 07:07 AM.
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Old December 5th, 2017, 08:04 AM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Vaderfan View Post
No, you didn't. If 25 year cycle was true, then we would have World Wars every 25 years. However, somehow the third never happened (and hopefully won't).

For cycle to be true you'd need to have the events repeating consistently over large span of time. Not just two random events.
Well, I didn't research the whole of history, just the 20th and 21st century so far and we don't know what can be found in older centuries. Anyway it can be seen from my lists that some 1700s and 1800s events repeated in a modern way later in the next decades.

Some events repeat themselves exactly in the same way, but many others return in another shape but are anyway connected in a peculiar and somewhat recognizable way. May not be the same season, may not be the same country, people are different but the recurrence is recognizable.

Well, we don't know how it works exactly, but I find the repetitions I showed are peculiar and interesting. What about the 3 quakes ( 25 years distant from each other ) in the same country? What about the recent 2017 quake in Mexico that happened on the 32nd anniversary of the 1985 one?

Last edited by ManOfCycles; December 5th, 2017 at 08:08 AM.
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Old December 5th, 2017, 10:20 AM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ManOfCycles View Post
Well, I didn't research the whole of history, just the 20th and 21st century so far and we don't know what can be found in older centuries. Anyway it can be seen from my lists that some 1700s and 1800s events repeated in a modern way later in the next decades.

Some events repeat themselves exactly in the same way, but many others return in another shape but are anyway connected in a peculiar and somewhat recognizable way. May not be the same season, may not be the same country, people are different but the recurrence is recognizable.

Well, we don't know how it works exactly, but I find the repetitions I showed are peculiar and interesting. What about the 3 quakes ( 25 years distant from each other ) in the same country? What about the recent 2017 quake in Mexico that happened on the 32nd anniversary of the 1985 one?
What you have done is take an arbitrary number x; and then looked for two similar or related events that happened x years apart. You're guaranteed to be successful regardless of the number you pick, since the criteria are so vague. Surely this is obvious from the fact that you've found so many numbers that work.

It's completely meaningless.
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Old December 5th, 2017, 11:36 AM   #9
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I think the number of cycles that can be found is limited. There isn't a cycle for every number. I am now finding results with multiples of some of the numbers of the cycles in this thread. If that can be done, it means these cycles work. But well, I am not here to try to convince you I am right.
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Old December 5th, 2017, 12:37 PM   #10
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Originally Posted by ManOfCycles View Post
I think the number of cycles that can be found is limited. There isn't a cycle for every number.
Of course there is. Think how many things happen every year. An incalculable number! If you cannot take two years and find two events in them which can seen as linked in some way, then you're sorely lacking in imagination. Except I know you aren't - because look at the extensive list you've already produced!

Let's take the 43-year cycle (this is the mean of your other cycles; rounded to the nearest whole number):

1945 - violent antigovernment protests in Romania
1987 - violent antigovernment protests in Romania

1974 - early election in the UK leads to a hung Parliament
2017 - early election in the UK leads to a hung Parliament

1935 - Outspoken and controversial Democratic politician Huey Long shot and killed
1978 - Outspoken and controversial Democratic politician George Moscone shot and killed

1906 - Magnitude 8.2 earthquake in Chile
1949 - Magnitude 7.8 earthquake in Chile

How am I doing? That only took a few minutes; and given that you've included earthquakes; these are astonishingly easy - earthquakes tend to happen in earthquake zones; so it almost certain that any arbitrary span of years will be flanked by two major earthquakes in the same country.

Quote:
I am now finding results with multiples of some of the numbers of the cycles in this thread. If that can be done, it means these cycles work. But well, I am not here to try to convince you I am right.
Then why are you here?
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