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Old November 17th, 2012, 05:54 PM   #11

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Quote:
Originally Posted by WeisSaul View Post
If the US continued to supply South Vietnam with the aid the US was supposed to, and provide air support, South Vietnam probably could have resisted the North. Plus, if S Vietnam could hold out long enough for the Sino-Soviet split to kick in, North Vietnam loses its direct link to her Soviet suppliers.

You'd probably see a repeat of South Korea and Republican China, with US economic and military aid being pumped in and an advanced industrial economy forming at the same pace as Japan and the four tigers (S Korea and ROC included). The US set up schools and roads during the war and was already putting effort into developing the country during the war. Once the fighting stops after 29, Saigon will end up prospering.

Maybe the communists on mainland China invade the North and turn it into a satellite? I can't the see the US complaining.
South Vietnamese Army Leadership was appalling. It was so corrupt to commanding was a task on to itself. The South Vietnamese Army would need to be reorganized to compete with their Northern counterparts also it was plagued with northern sympathizers. All these should have been dealt with. I think South Koreans successfully did previously in their army. Look at the Fall of Da Nang the South Vietnamese commanders there left 100,000 troops leaderless. Ultimately American's failure in Vietnam tied to the ARVN failed transforming into a capable fighting force.
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Last edited by Ashiusx; November 17th, 2012 at 06:05 PM.
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Old November 17th, 2012, 10:24 PM   #12

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The Chinese would probably not have invaded Vietnam in 1979 later if the US still had a good relationship with Vietnam. The US would have been emboldened to engage in similar conflicts. The US may have wound up with a better relationship with China due to the Russia-China rivalry of the time.
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Old November 18th, 2012, 03:55 AM   #13
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The better question to ask is not what if the USA had won in Vietnam but rather what if the USA had sought a diplomatic path?

The big advantage the USA had over the USSR was that it was far, far richer.

Instead of bombing Hanoi, why not build factories and schools there?

Let Ho Chi Minh unify Vietnam and then work to bring into the Western sphere by improving the wealth of his country.
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