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If Napoleon would have crushed the Prussians and British at Waterloo, he probably would have to beat both armies again to annhialate them or force them to either retreat or sue for peace. Afterwards he would have to wait a few months again before the Russian and Austrian would have been mobilized and marched on France. During this period he may very likely have either sued peace with Austria and Prussia and otherwise have been able to build up his army even more. So all in all his changes of remaining in Europe would have been pretty high.
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