Could China fight off the Japanese in WW2 on their own and win?

Sep 2018
40
Sri Lanka
What if the Allied nations were stuck fighting Germany and couldn't help Asia, could China win the war in Asia and save the poor occupied nations there on its own?
 

HackneyedScribe

Ad Honorem
Feb 2011
6,501
What do you mean by "on their own?" Will the United States still cut off trade with the Japanese in 1941 (which was the reason Japan declared war on the rest of the Allies)? Will China still get supplied by their allies?

The reason the Japanese attacked the United States and European colonies in SouthEast Asia was because once the Western Allies chose to embargo Japan from trading in oil, Japan had to seize their oilfields in order to keep their war machine going.
 

Scaeva

Ad Honorem
Oct 2012
5,630
As late as the second half of 1944 Japan was able to launch a large and successful offensive against Chinese military forces (Operation Ichi-go), and the war would end with Japan still in control of large swaths of Chinese territory.

Without foreign aid and intervention China had no hope of driving the Japanese entirely out of the country. Having said that, I also don't believe Japan possessed the capability to completely subdue China. Without other powers being involved the war would have likely ended with territory being ceded to Japan but not with a complete conquest of China.

Likely there also would have been a Third Sino-Japanese War at some point. Such a peace could only be temporary.
 

heavenlykaghan

Ad Honorem
Mar 2012
4,438
As late as the second half of 1944 Japan was able to launch a large and successful offensive against Chinese military forces (Operation Ichi-go), and the war would end with Japan still in control of large swaths of Chinese territory.

Without foreign aid and intervention China had no hope of driving the Japanese entirely out of the country. Having said that, I also don't believe Japan possessed the capability to completely subdue China. Without other powers being involved the war would have likely ended with territory being ceded to Japan but not with a complete conquest of China.

Likely there also would have been a Third Sino-Japanese War at some point. Such a peace could only be temporary.
The Communists never threw in their whole forces against Japan except for the brief Hundred Regiment Offensives. Throughout the 40s, the Communists are growing at an exponential rate (from 50,000 to 900,000 in 1945) and still not opening up a real front. It's an entirely different game if they decided to do that after 1945, especially if they received Russian weapon support. The only place Communists had trouble infiltrating was Manchuria, Japanese hold over the rest of China is highly precarious under Communist penetration, and time is on the CCP's side.
 

stevev

Ad Honorem
Apr 2017
3,531
Las Vegas, NV USA
[QUOTE="HackneyedScribe, post: 3048306, member: 9401"

The reason the Japanese attacked the United States and European colonies in SouthEast Asia was because once the Western Allies chose to embargo Japan from trading in oil, Japan had to seize their oilfields in order to keep their war machine going.[/QUOTE]

The reason the US imposed the oil embargo was the Japanese seizure of French Indochina which occupied France was not in a position to defend. It was not only Indochina that was at stake but all European possessions in East Asia. Yes they were colonies, but history quickly proved that better a European colony than a Japanese colony. The allied victory over Japan was followed by a period of de-colonization.
 
Aug 2018
532
Southern Indiana
I think the Japanese conquering most all of the country was certainly possible , but holding onto it would have been tougher.
 

Rodger

Ad Honorem
Jun 2014
6,171
US
History tells us no. By the time the U.S. entered the war, much of the populated regions of China were under Japanese control.