- May 2014
Interesting analysis.If Napoleon would have won at Waterloo,he would have lost in august or september for three reasons:
1) He refuses to restablish the conscription which was totally impopular since 1810.
2) The losses of june 1815 were enormous,40 000 men,33% of the army of the north.And in Strasbourg,Rapp had only 30 000 men.
3) With an army of 110 000 men he couldn t stop the austrian and russian armies which were arriving by the east (400 000 men) the second prussian army with the ex confederation of the Rhin (80 000 men) the austrian army of Italy (30 000 men) and the spanish-portuguese corps which were prepared (50 000 men) and naturally the new british army of Holland (40 000 men).The imperial senate which was informed that the fronteers were defended with less than 20 000 men (Pyrenees,Alpes,Jura) would have totally refused a new scenario of 1814.
BTW, what do you think that the post-war peace settlement would have looked like in this scenario?