- Apr 2015
90% Chinese are Han Chinese, who gives strong base to Chinese nationalism, so its highly unlikely that China will ever collapse even if there is resentment among China's ethnic minorities. Even most of the ethnic minority provinces are dominated by Han Chinese majority including Xinjiang.To answer the original question from my own perspective, China is already a superpower, and arguably a colonial one too. What isn't inevitable though, is the oft predicted event of China becoming the dominant hyperpower, similar to the US from 1991-c2010. China has shown that it can rise to the top of the pecking order, then collapse. With China riven with corruption, a racist government intolerant of ethic and linguistic difference and corruption so vast it's probably more chronic than even Russia, there's every chance that China will collapse again. Furthermore, totalitarian governments like China's always run the risk of a calamity, whether it be economic, military or environmental, destroying its legitimacy and leading to its overthrow. What will China do if it falls into deep recession and there are tens of millions of angry unemployed youth from the privileged castes? Or, if it gets onto a skirmish in the South China sea and loses or backs down? Or, what if its environmental degradation poisons the water supplies to cities like Beijing and Shanghai and deaths start to happen? There's also the fact that China is already unstable. We can see evidence of this today, with Taiwan moving closer to independence, Hong Kong in open revolt and the Naziesque measures that are being used in Xinjian to keep people in line.