Putin conquers and annexes all of Novorossiya in 2014

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
15,749
SoCal
#1
What if, sometime in 2014, Putin would have conquered and annexed all of Novorossiya--as in, not just Crimea and the Donbass, but the entire blue area on this map? :



Putin could claim that the "coup" in Kiev in February 2014 justified such a massive Russian military intervention in Ukraine and that his goal in Ukraine is to protect the pro-Russian population there.

Anyway, how severely would the West react in such a scenario? I'm presuming that the West would try to sanction Russia as much as possible--though I don't know if the West could go to the max in regards to this right away since it is dependent on Russian natural resources. I do expect the West to wean itself off of Russian natural resources as soon as it can feasibly do so and then impose crippling sanctions on Russia to the max, though.

Also, would this have affected the Brexit referendum and the 2016 US election?

In addition to this, would the people of Novorossiya have overwhelmingly accepted Russian rule like the people of Crimea did in real life? Or would there have been a lot of anti-Russian protests in Norovossiya after the Russian occupation of this region in this scenario?
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
15,749
SoCal
#2
Also, one more thing--I'm presuming that Ukraine would heavily invest in its infrastructure in its western territories in this scenario so that it could have easy access to Polish and Romanian ports considering that Ukraine itself would become completely landlocked in this scenario.
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
15,749
SoCal
#5
Why would he want to?
Ukraine is not in great shape financially.
The fact that Ukraine was in poor shape financially didn't prevent Putin from wanting Ukraine for his Eurasian Union, though. The fact that Putin couldn't have all of Ukraine (due to the Maidan Revolution) could mean that Putin decides that having half of Ukraine for himself/Russia is the next best thing.
 
Sep 2016
804
Georgia
#6
Well, Putin didn't even annex Donbass in 2014. When there was best chance for that and Ukraine military was in poor shape. Population was asking Putin for help and Russia to come. Russia didn't. Yes, they helped separatists with weapons, supplies and military specialists. However, they still didn't intervene directly with all the power and might they had. Russian aviation alone would make quick work of Ukrainian army.

Now, population in Donbass is stuck in No man's land. Russia didn't intervene and left them just as region that creates instability inside Ukraine. Nobody in the world recognizes their Republics. Ukraine will only accept surrender and restoration of their territory. No perspective for people in Donbass. Very foolish choice they made back in 2014 as last years showed.

They all believed that Kiev would start genocide of whole Russian population in Ukraine.

While Russia destroyed normal relationships with the rest of Ukraine for a long time, pushing it now even closer to NATO.

Popularity of Putin is also decreasing in Russia with last reforms and now talks about giving Kuril islands to Japan.
 
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Likes: Futurist
Sep 2012
3,680
Bulgaria
#8

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