Statistical development of ethnic groups in the USA

Nov 2016
1,598
Germany
Extrapolated, in 40 years the (non-Hispanic) whites in the USA will make up only 44 % of the population (today 63 %, 1980 still 80 %). The Hispanics will be 29 % in 2060, the Asians 15 % and the blacks 12 %, as they are today. The proportion of whites will thus decline and the proportion of blacks stagnates. The electorate will consist mainly of non-whites. Hollywood has all this in view and places a black and optionally an Asian and/or Hispanic in almost every team of series investigators.
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
23,561
SoCal
For what it's worth, theoretically speaking, population projections regarding the percentage of blacks in the US in the future could theoretically be adjusted upwards if Africa's population explosion is going to result in much more blacks wanting to come to the US.
 
Nov 2016
1,598
Germany
theoretically speaking, population projections regarding the percentage of blacks in the US in the future could theoretically be adjusted upwards if Africa's population explosion is going to result in much more blacks wanting to come to the US.
Since other ethnic groups, especially the Hispanics, are also increasing, the percentage of blacks will only increase by 1 percent (almost stagnating), although their number is increasing due to immigration. In contrast, the proportion of Hispanics will increase from 19 to 29 percent in 2060. It is expected that 65 million more Hispanics will live in the USA in 2060 than today, while the blacks grow by 17 million. The non-Hispanic whites will be 21 million less than today.
 
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Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
23,561
SoCal
That's based on current projections, though. Projections can change over time. For instance, the US was previously (in 2008) projected to have 439 million people in 2050 but now estimates project a US population of around 400 million in 2050.
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
23,561
SoCal
I suspect that the white and Hispanic population projections nowadays are going to be close to accurate, but they might be underestimating the projected growth in the black and/or Asian US populations, IMHO.
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
23,561
SoCal
You mean about demographic change? Because WASPs certainly aren't the only ones who worry about this. For instance, Israeli Jews likewise worry about this.