Was it realistically possible for Germany to quickly get defeated in a World War?

pugsville

Ad Honorem
Oct 2010
8,887
#11
So, why was Germany unable to afford to mechanize its army?
Why could the USSR or France or Itlaly not afford to totally mechanize their armies? Well it's very large army and Germany did not have a large auto industry.

Why couldn't German afford to make 100,000 aircraft in 1938? The Versallies treaty! The reparations payments were less than German was saving by reduced arms expitdures Less than Britian and France were paying in US ww1 war debts..

The British army was smaller and the USA just had a lot industry and resources.

You cannot afford everything priorities have to be chosen. They could have with a smaller army. They decided to motorizes all their flak.
 
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starman

Ad Honorem
Jan 2014
3,998
Connecticut
#12
The Reich could’ve been beaten quickly had war erupted in ‘38, over the Czech issue. Also, had the French thrown everything they had on land and in the air at the Reich in 1939, during the Polish campaign, they might’ve overwhelmed the Germans.
 
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pugsville

Ad Honorem
Oct 2010
8,887
#13
The Reich could’ve been beaten quickly had war erupted in ‘38, over the Czech issue. Also, had the French thrown everything they had on land and in the air at the Reich in 1939, during the Polish campaign, they might’ve overwhelmed the Germans.
I beleive it was in the Western powers interests to fight if they had to in 1938 and certainly should have stood firm.

However their thinking was dominated by things such as "the bomber always gets through" there was a widespread beleive that teh aerial bombbardment of cities woul dlead to massive casulties, teh bombers were capaable of tingsthey were only capable at teh end of the war. They also had beleived a lot of German propaganda about the Lufwaffe front line strength.

The Franch army was in no real way prepared for a real conflict, Gamelin was terrible. Any offensive would have most likely been awfully badly run. Though mistakes in 1938 on the offensive woudl no have been as bad as 1940. The Germans lacked enough modern equipment in aircraft and amrour to really play the same sort of offensive game in 1939. The learning experience, and poland campaign workled a lot of kinks out and he extra year would have delivered a lot more equipment. But Offensive failure, high(ish) losses could have lead to salutary lessons and learning, at less cost than 1940.

A Polish-Czec-Anglo-Czech alllance in 1938 woudl have pushed Germany on all fronts.A quick defeat of Germany is not that likely IMHO, Evn if the German smanaged to knock out teh Czechs and the Poles the cost would be significant.
 
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