Who is going to Win the Syrian Civil War

Nov 2013
176
Ohio
#1
Who will actually win this civil war it really seems like a stalemate and nothing is drastically changing. Is it going to escalate into bringing more countries in and making it more interesting or will it eventually die out and Rebel lose or Rebels will keep fighting till the end?
 

Menshevik

Ad Honorem
Dec 2012
9,122
here
#2
Who can say? I'd say it's still anyone's game. Although, it seems like Assad has a slightly better hand than do the rebels. As long as outside agitators are funding their proxies, the war could go on indefinitely, no?
 

WeisSaul

Ad Honorem
Mar 2012
2,836
New Amsterdam
#3
Russia.

US intervenes: US stuck in the middle east and unable to interfere in Russian affair
US doesn't intervene: Russia comes out looking pretty good.
 

Nemowork

Ad Honorem
Jan 2011
8,329
South of the barcodes
#5
Who will actually win this civil war it really seems like a stalemate and nothing is drastically changing. Is it going to escalate into bringing more countries in and making it more interesting or will it eventually die out and Rebel lose or Rebels will keep fighting till the end?
A third Syria thread?

Clear advantage to Assad and the SAA at the moment.

Winter has set in with snow several feet deep. the rebel districts around Damascus have been shot to pieces and dehoused, they have no foodand the regime offensive towards jobar is been slowly successful.

On the other hand the rebel offensive to break the siege has run out of steam apart from a few public massacres of civilians. They have very little to look forward to except starvation.

Similar rebel losses around Qualamoun are happening with the Hezbollah/SAA attacks.

On the other hand the regime has worked out supply deals to its isolated garrisons in the Kurdish areas and has forced open the roads to Aleppo and Homs so its men are well supplied and in full contact with the rear areas.

The FSA is fragmenting, while the ISIS/JAN have terrified their Saudi sponsors so much KSA has turned away from them to form the Islamic front, a third force trying to combine the best and most politically reliable elements of both sides into a competent fighting army.

The SAA is increasing its manpower and competence, the rebel side is fracturing into factions.

It might change in the new year if the Islamic front gets their act together and can actually mount a decent offensive but so far it doesnt look good.
 
May 2011
1,572
mid way between the pub and the golf course.
#6
Several hundred UK citizens, (of Arabic extraction) have left our shores and joined up with the rebels/freedom army, whatever. We sure as hell don't want them back here, fully trained up in weaponry and explosives.
So carry on Assad, says I.
 

Gudenrath

Ad Honorem
May 2012
2,626
Denmark
#10
Russia.

US intervenes: US stuck in the middle east and unable to interfere in Russian affair
US doesn't intervene: Russia comes out looking pretty good.
Direct US intervention seems to be a very unlikely scenario, and Russia actually has something real at stake in the conflict:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_naval_facility_in_Tartus

"Tartus is the last Russian military facility outside the former Soviet Union,[3] and its only Mediterranean repair and replenishment spot, sparing Russia’s warships the trip back to their Black Sea bases through the Turkish Straits"

If the rebels wins, Russia very likely will lose that. So it is far from a win-win situation for Russia.