- Dec 2012
If we're going to entertain these silly notions of Russia or China nuking Israel, then we need to consider what Israel will do in response. Israel has nukes. They could nuke Russia or China in retaliation. Obviously, Russia or China would win in such an exchange, but even if Israel only succeeded in hitting just a few of their cities, it would be a huge blow, a catastrophe for either country. Would it really be worth it for China or Russia to engage in such a game of brinkmanship?Japan and Taiwan have long relied in US i.e. outside protection. They’re hardly big enough to stand up to China themselves.
Putin appears to have good relations with Israel but I think that’s just expediency. The principal focus lately has been on fighting internal enemies of Arab regimes, notably in Syria, not Israel. But things should change when the internal messes are finally cleaned up. Inter-Arab conflicts come and go but Israel is a perennial...In order to maintain its position in the Arab or Muslim world, Russia will have to back the Arabs against Israel—just like in the past. China would have to do the same. In fact the US has long been just about the only country to back Israel fully, no doubt because only it could afford such a foolish luxury i.e. risk alienating the vastly more important Arab world by backing Israel.
Without the risk of US intervention, it would be quite feasible. But presumably it would only be done—after initial warning— in the event of an all out Israeli attack like in ‘67, which the arabs can’t handle themselves.