Would Russia have been receptive to a partition of Austria-Hungary had Germany proposed it?

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
13,495
SoCal
#1
Had Germany renewed its Reinsurance Treaty with Russia in 1890 and also offered Russia a formal alliance (as well as to cancel Germany's Dual Alliance with Austria-Hungary) in exchange for Russian agreement to eventually partition Austria-Hungary between Germany, Russia, Italy, Serbia, and Romania, how exactly would Russia react to such a German offer?

Basically, I'm wondering as to whether there could have eventually been an alternate World War I had Kaiser Bill somehow had a personality change. Specifically, I am thinking of a WWI where Germany, Russia, Italy, Serbia, and Romania ally together to partition Austria-Hungary while Britain, France, the Austrians and Hungarians themselves, and possibly the Ottoman Empire as well try to stop the German-Russians from doing this.
 

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
13,495
SoCal
#2
Also, obviously Kaiser Bill's personality change would have needed to include him becoming a Pan-German nationalist in Hitler's mold but without the rabid anti-Semitism. Basically, Kaiser Bill needs to view himself as a unifier of all ethnic Germans (whether Protestant or Catholic)--not as the representative of the Protestant Prussian elite.
 
Apr 2017
714
U.S.A.
#3
It would in Russia's interest to accept such a deal but then what? With Austria-Hungary gone Russia would turn its eyes to the Balkans and East Prussia. Germany would have nothing to offer Russia, whereas France could offer it much.
 
Likes: Futurist

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
13,495
SoCal
#4
It would in Russia's interest to accept such a deal but then what? With Austria-Hungary gone Russia would turn its eyes to the Balkans and East Prussia. Germany would have nothing to offer Russia, whereas France could offer it much.
Here's the catch, though--if France decides to fight to prevent a partition of A-H, then Germany is going to ensure that it will be permanently crippled. Thus, France isn't going to be able to ally with Russia in any meaningful sense even if it would want to do this.
 
Apr 2017
714
U.S.A.
#5
Here's the catch, though--if France decides to fight to prevent a partition of A-H, then Germany is going to ensure that it will be permanently crippled. Thus, France isn't going to be able to ally with Russia in any meaningful sense even if it would want to do this.
France would just wait till after the partition, then ally with Russia against Germany.
 
Likes: Futurist

Futurist

Ad Honoris
May 2014
13,495
SoCal
#6
France would just wait till after the partition, then ally with Russia against Germany.
True--though it is worth noting that, in the event of a war with both France and Russia, Germany would be very capable of playing defense. The only salient that it has to worry about is East Prussia. However, if Germany controls German Austria, Czechia, and Slovenia in addition to its 1914 territories, then it would be very well-prepared and well-equipped to play defense on both fronts.