A) yup the war happens in the OP regardless.
B) your right sumner was only political that is my point.. it held zero military value but they sacrificed the “moral highground” by firing first..
Now the US wasn’t stopping secession.. they were attacked and defending themselves.. in the narrative I mean.. shooting first handed the narrative to Lincoln.
Even one of Jeff Davis’s advisors is recorded saying exactly that.. they even knew it was over southern pride..
C) the northern invasion and sumner were my examples of blunders..
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Hi,
The initial reason given by the Union was to restore the Union- which had been attacked.
The Confederacy decided to attack at Sumner (at least according to McPherson), because they needed to bring in the undecided border states and they feared that nonslaveholding whites might organise to exert strong pressure to return to the union.
Not attacking at Sumner did place Lincoln in a difficult position but at some stage the Union would need to reprovision the fort. The Confederacy would then have to decide how much force to use to prevent this.
In the event. the attack at Sumner brought in 4 of 8 border states but it also galvanised the Union.
Nevertheless, the South did have winning opportunities-
a. Had the West been more successfully defended, Lincoln might well have lost the 1864 election and the Copperheads take control.
b. A Confederate victory in the Gettysburg campaign might have produced international pressure for a compromise peace. Had Lee paid more attention to Longstreet's plan to slip around the Union flank, threatening Washington and try to force a Union attack upon a Confederate army on the tactical defensive, this might have been achieved.